Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 373.326464 424.444947 481.486131 550.124375 630.830773 723.143054 837.334194
2025-08-31 292.999979 358.203351 437.656133 542.651355 679.327344 853.406869 1095.463795
2025-09-07 253.111679 324.173063 415.854988 544.812692 724.785161 972.051890 1346.459427
2025-09-14 220.365200 292.507277 389.801341 533.571684 745.796560 1056.149298 1561.174164
2025-09-21 198.407492 271.537576 374.003153 532.091634 777.392904 1156.980753 1817.305704
2025-09-28 175.029209 245.419919 347.098864 509.541380 772.123005 1198.044630 1982.216551
2025-10-05 166.605790 239.745670 348.917888 530.084009 836.455340 1360.342635 2389.496646
2025-10-12 160.231243 236.226297 353.211322 554.486181 910.011417 1550.231392 2892.241167
2025-10-19 150.279145 226.051485 345.731882 558.015818 947.189233 1680.137161 3307.209207
2025-10-26 138.346312 211.574701 329.724046 544.692807 951.345362 1747.125080 3603.986268
2025-11-02 128.612917 199.795647 316.991134 535.488256 961.551322 1827.178174 3949.694512
2025-11-09 123.997357 196.051338 317.423627 550.083799 1019.890011 2017.026623 4610.033126
2025-11-16 116.663039 187.300208 308.681093 547.113679 1043.748539 2140.096061 5148.798315
2025-11-23 109.108272 177.600867 297.434900 538.123630 1053.951405 2235.040628 5645.435920
2025-11-30 103.907953 171.592405 292.274080 540.439832 1088.729299 2394.693458 6382.441674
2025-12-07 97.416342 162.776150 281.132392 529.287334 1091.608087 2476.196486 6910.909008
2025-12-14 92.726608 156.883735 274.991512 527.823680 1116.601709 2619.752544 7695.818680
2025-12-21 85.955045 146.694191 259.802546 505.488933 1088.776573 2616.861107 7978.622640
2025-12-28 84.590015 146.498070 264.053386 525.835122 1168.324213 2928.822209 9539.062387
2026-01-04 83.647221 147.014555 269.729589 550.001953 1261.732121 3305.304786 11551.975767
2026-01-11 80.637603 143.320148 266.542910 553.497377 1301.718493 3530.403627 13058.920213
2026-01-18 76.246387 136.638611 256.682725 540.303279 1294.616251 3604.688308 13929.359688
2026-01-25 72.546311 131.109253 248.847254 531.187428 1297.649039 3713.987949 15033.624213